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February 8, 2018
Barbara Böttcher, Dieter Bräuninger and Stefan Schneider from DB Research expect that the SPD grass roots will approve the coalition agreement by a small majority and that a grand coalition will be formed. The balloting of the SPD’s 463,700 members may take until March and represents the final hurdle to be cleared for a grand coalition.
The three economists have analysed the still fresh draft coalition treaty in their paper entitled “Groko coalition treaty: More spending than strategy.” Their main conclusions make for rather sobering reading:
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